The impact of recent climate change on the ocean carbon sink
In recent decades, the rise in atmospheric CO2 has caused an increase in oceanic CO2 uptake. Yet, climate change and variability also affect the air-sea CO2 flux, which is less well understood. We use a global ocean biogeochemistry model to quantify these effects from 1958-2019. Our simulations show that, on average during 2000-2019, the ocean took up 2 PgC yr-1 more than in its preindustrial state, corresponding to a trend of 24 TgC yr-2 from 1958-2019. Climate effects reduced the mean flux 2000-2019 by 13% and the trend 1958-2019 by 26%. The most important drivers were winds (mean: 9%, trend: 12%) and sea surface warming (mean: 5%, trend: 10%). Winds reduced the oceanic CO2 uptake largely through changes in the carbon transport with the ocean circulation. Warming primarily drove a reduced solubility of natural CO2 where the exchange of surface and deep waters determines the magnitude of this effect.
AWI Organizations > Biosciences > Marine Biogeosciences